Currently, the biggest concern of the international community is Russia’s aggression against Ukraine, the so-called Ukraine war. More than a year has passed since the invasion last February. I want the war to end as soon as possible, but the future is uncertain and we cannot predict when the ceasefire will occur. But it will end someday. What will happen to the international community after the war? I asked AI.

“What will happen to the international community after the war in Ukraine?”

AI’s view: If the Ukraine war ends, the world could be affected by:
Russia’s declining status: Russia’s status could decline if the Ukraine war ends. Russia has been internationally isolated and under economic sanctions for annexing parts of Ukraine’s territory. If this isolation continues, Russia may fall into a state of international isolation.

Strengthening NATO and the EU: After the war in Ukraine, NATO and the EU may strengthen their defense capabilities against Russia. The Ukraine crisis has made NATO and the EU aware of its security importance. As a result, these organizations can jointly formulate security policies and promote closer cooperation.

Energy Policy Reassessment: Energy policy may need to be reassessed. Ukraine supplies Russia’s natural gas to Europe, and Europe depends on it for energy. But the continued conflict between Ukraine and Russia will force Europe to find more sources of energy.

Restructuring of International Relations: A restructuring of international relations is likely to occur. Until now, the world order has been led by Western countries, led by the United States, but the Ukraine crisis shows the rise of emerging powers such as Russia and China. As a result, international relations may be reorganized and a new balance may emerge.
These changes will have a major impact on the international community, and the world may become more uncertain.

My view: AI presents four possibilities, but among them, I believe that “restructuring of international relations” will have the greatest impact. Indeed, Russia has been subject to severe sanctions from the West for its invasion of Ukraine, and from a Western perspective alone, has been increasingly isolated. But China and Iran are secretly backing Russia.
It is undeniable that, depending on the outcome of the Ukraine war, Russia, far from being isolated, will win a central position in the newly reorganized international community.
We are currently at a turning point, and as AI points out, a new balance may emerge in the international community. Rather, in order to create a new balance for itself, Russia may have ventured to invade Ukraine, ignoring the condemnation of the Western countries.
This is because “Russia’s declining position”, “strengthening of NATO and the EU”, and “re-evaluation of energy policy” will come to mind with a little thought, even if you do not ask AI, even if you are a political amateur. Even President Putin should have known that much before he invaded. Even so, the reason why they decided to invade is to create a trend that is distinct from the values of the Western countries and to take a leading position in the current turning point of the times.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said Russia’s future hinged on the war in Ukraine at a ceremony marking the Victory Day against Germany on Tuesday. You know that if you lose this war weirdly, or win it weirdly, you won’t be able to take the lead in the new balance, you’ll just deepen your isolation and tilt your nation. . (Kei Kitajima)